Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 17:30 •
Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 2.45)
1.00 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.0% | 32.1% | 37.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
0 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| BAK '07 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tasmania Berlin | 0 | 15.6% | 15.6% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tasmania Berlin | BAK '07 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 57% | 79% |
| Defense | 71% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tasmania Berlin | BAK '07 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 33% | 100% | 60% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
Form: Tasmania Berlin: WLWWD • BAK '07: DLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Tasmania Berlin | BAK '07 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tasmania Berlin | BAK '07 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 40% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 40% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tasmania Berlin | BAK '07 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tasmania Berlin | BAK '07 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tasmania Berlin | BAK '07 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-5 | 4-3 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tasmania Berlin | BAK '07 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 21% | 79% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Tasmania Berlin or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tasmania Berlin = 0.86 (league 2.45), BAK '07 = 1.00 (league 1.75)
| BAK '07 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tasmania Berlin | 0 | 15.6% | 15.6% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.0% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 37.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1