Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Poststadion
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 2.44)
3.57 (league 1.74)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | 10.1% | 67.7% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.8%
0 - 3
7.3%
1 - 4
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sparta Lichtenberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| BAK '07 | 0 | 1.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | BAK '07 | Sparta Lichtenberg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 55% | 80% |
| Defense | 20% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
62%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | BAK '07 | Sparta Lichtenberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Form: BAK '07: DLLWWL • Sparta Lichtenberg: WWLWWD
League goals
| Metric | BAK '07 | Sparta Lichtenberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 2.7 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | BAK '07 | Sparta Lichtenberg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 83% | 83% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | 50% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | BAK '07 | Sparta Lichtenberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | BAK '07 | Sparta Lichtenberg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | BAK '07 | Sparta Lichtenberg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-3 | 2-4 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | — | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | BAK '07 | Sparta Lichtenberg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.2% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Sparta Lichtenberg and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): BAK '07 = 1.07 (league 2.44), Sparta Lichtenberg = 3.57 (league 1.74)
| Sparta Lichtenberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| BAK '07 | 0 | 1.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.9% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 67.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1