Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 12:30 •
Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark
Expected Goals
2.57 (league 2.42)
0.89 (league 1.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9% | 15.6% | 10.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.2%
3 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Sparta Lichtenberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tasmania Berlin | 0 | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.4% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.9% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tasmania Berlin | Sparta Lichtenberg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 95% | 63% |
| Defense | 68% | 37% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 18 | 3.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
80%
FT probability
3.5+
57%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tasmania Berlin | Sparta Lichtenberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 71% | 60% | 67% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 14% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
| Loses | 14% | 40% | 25% | 17% | 67% | 42% |
Form: Tasmania Berlin: WLWWDWLWLWWW • Sparta Lichtenberg: WWLWWDLLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Tasmania Berlin | Sparta Lichtenberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 11 | 30 | 21 | 10 | 31 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tasmania Berlin | Sparta Lichtenberg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 58% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 33% | 67% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 25% | 42% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tasmania Berlin | Sparta Lichtenberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tasmania Berlin | Sparta Lichtenberg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tasmania Berlin | Sparta Lichtenberg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 10-3 | 2-5 | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 10 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tasmania Berlin | Sparta Lichtenberg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 52.2% | 47.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Tasmania Berlin and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tasmania Berlin = 2.57 (league 2.42), Sparta Lichtenberg = 0.89 (league 1.72)
| Sparta Lichtenberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tasmania Berlin | 0 | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.4% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.9% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.9% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 10.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1