Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:00 •
Kunstrasenplatz Fischerstraße
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 2.34)
1.98 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.2% | 19.1% | 30.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.1%
2 - 2
7.0%
3 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| BAK '07 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 0 | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sparta Lichtenberg | BAK '07 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 81% | 50% |
| Defense | 31% | 19% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
63%
FT probability
BTTS
92%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sparta Lichtenberg | BAK '07 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 50% | 27% | 38% | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 30% | 0% | 14% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Loses | 20% | 73% | 48% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
Form: Sparta Lichtenberg: WWLWWDLLLWLWLLDLWWDLL • BAK '07: DLLWWLWLLWDLLWLLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Sparta Lichtenberg | BAK '07 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 32 | 18 | 50 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| GF avg | 3.2 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 20 | 32 | 52 | 28 | 18 | 46 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sparta Lichtenberg | BAK '07 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 95% | 86% | 90% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 62% | 71% | 40% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 48% | 25% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 29% | 20% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sparta Lichtenberg | BAK '07 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sparta Lichtenberg | BAK '07 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sparta Lichtenberg | BAK '07 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 3-5 | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 6-1 | 0-7 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sparta Lichtenberg | BAK '07 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 47.3% | 52.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Sparta Lichtenberg or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sparta Lichtenberg = 2.46 (league 2.34), BAK '07 = 1.98 (league 1.71)
| BAK '07 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 0 | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 30.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1