Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 •
Fritz Reuter Sportpark
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 2.24)
2.18 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.0% | 20.0% | 39.8% |
best score tips
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 2
7.0%
2 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Makkabi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Siedenbollentin | 0 | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Siedenbollentin carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 71 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Siedenbollentin +26.1, Makkabi -40.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Siedenbollentin
vs
Makkabi
Elo gapSiedenbollentin +71
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo2953.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2953.6
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Siedenbollentin | Makkabi |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1494.6 | 1459 |
| Form Elo | 1496 | 1435.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1503.9 | 1477.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1517.4 | 1522.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1407.2 | 1440.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +26.1 | -40.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Siedenbollentin last-5 Elo change: +26.1; Makkabi last-5 Elo change: -40.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Siedenbollentin | Makkabi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 64% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Siedenbollentin | Makkabi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 50% | 31% | 40% | 54% | 42% | 48% |
| Draws | 17% | 38% | 28% | 8% | 0% | 4% |
| Loses | 33% | 31% | 32% | 38% | 58% | 48% |
SiedenbollentinWLWDDWDWDWDDLLWLLWLLWWLWD
MakkabiLWWWWLWLWWLDLLWLLWWLLWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Siedenbollentin | Makkabi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 20 | 45 | 21 | 22 | 43 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 24 | 23 | 47 | 19 | 26 | 45 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Siedenbollentin | Makkabi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 88% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 56% | 52% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 8% | 12% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Siedenbollentin | Makkabi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Siedenbollentin | Makkabi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Siedenbollentin | Makkabi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Siedenbollentin | Makkabi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 55.6% | 44.6% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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