Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.80) 0.84 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.8% 35.1% 34.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.9%
0 - 1
16.6%
1 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Plauen
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freital 0 19.9% 16.6% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.0% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.0% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC FreitalPlauen
Played55
Form87%73%
Attack94%63%
Defense88%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 310 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Freital Plauen
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%75%71%25%100%57%
Draws0%25%14%50%0%29%
Loses33%0%14%25%0%14%

Form: SC Freital: WLWWWWD • Plauen: WLWDWWD

League goals

Metric SC Freital Plauen
HATHAT
GF total612186612
GF avg2.03.02.61.52.01.7
GA total235325
GA avg0.70.80.70.80.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC FreitalPlauen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%43%86%71%
1.586%29%57%0%
2.543%0%14%0%
3.514%0%14%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC FreitalPlauen
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricSC FreitalPlauen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSC FreitalPlauen
Wins42
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-54-00-2
Biggest losses1-2—0-1—
Goals For3542
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricSC FreitalPlauen
Form54%46%
Att60%40%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h36%64%
Goals33%67%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : SC Freital or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.86 @ Marathonbet
Away2.72 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.97 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.31 @ Marathonbet
No3.04 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): SC Freital = 0.78 (league 1.80), Plauen = 0.84 (league 1.67)

Plauen
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freital 0 19.9% 16.6% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.0% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.0% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.8% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 34.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1