Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 •
WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.80)
0.84 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8% | 35.1% | 34.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.9%
0 - 1
16.6%
1 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Plauen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SC Freital | 0 | 19.9% | 16.6% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SC Freital | Plauen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 73% |
| Attack | 94% | 63% |
| Defense | 88% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SC Freital | Plauen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 75% | 71% | 25% | 100% | 57% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
Form: SC Freital: WLWWWWD • Plauen: WLWDWWD
League goals
| Metric | SC Freital | Plauen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SC Freital | Plauen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 43% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 86% | 29% | 57% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SC Freital | Plauen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | SC Freital | Plauen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | SC Freital | Plauen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SC Freital | Plauen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 50.5% | 49.5% |
Advice: Double chance : SC Freital or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.09 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.86 @ Marathonbet
Away2.72 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.30 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.97 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.31 @ Marathonbet
No3.04 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SC Freital = 0.78 (league 1.80), Plauen = 0.84 (league 1.67)
| Plauen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SC Freital | 0 | 19.9% | 16.6% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.8% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 34.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1
