Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 12:00 •
WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens
Expected Goals
2.89 (league 1.75)
0.23 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 83.3% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
18.5%
3 - 0
17.8%
4 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Heiligenstadt | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SC Freital | 0 | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.5% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.8% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SC Freital | Heiligenstadt |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 13% |
| Attack | 58% | 4% |
| Defense | 88% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SC Freital | Heiligenstadt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 80% | 78% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 11% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Loses | 25% | 0% | 11% | 60% | 75% | 67% |
Form: SC Freital: WLWWWWDWW • Heiligenstadt: LDLLDLLLD
League goals
| Metric | SC Freital | Heiligenstadt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 15 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SC Freital | Heiligenstadt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 44% | 44% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | 11% | 78% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 0% | 0% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SC Freital | Heiligenstadt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | SC Freital | Heiligenstadt |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | SC Freital | Heiligenstadt |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SC Freital | Heiligenstadt |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 87% | 13% |
| Att | 93% | 7% |
| Def | 79% | 21% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 88.0% | 12.0% |
Advice: Winner : SC Freital
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SC Freital = 2.89 (league 1.75), Heiligenstadt = 0.23 (league 1.75)
| Heiligenstadt | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SC Freital | 0 | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.5% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.8% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 83.3% · Draw 7.9% · Away win 1.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1