Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 12:30 • Stadion Müllerwiese
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.34 (league 1.80) 0.29 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.7% 2.6% 0.6%
best score tips
4 - 0
14.5%
3 - 0
13.3%
5 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Heiligenstadt
0 1 2 3 4 5
Budissa Bautzen 0 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.2% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 3.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.5% 4.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.6% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBudissa BautzenHeiligenstadt
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack48%10%
Defense81%48%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Budissa Bautzen Heiligenstadt
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%17%36%0%0%0%
Draws20%50%36%33%20%27%
Loses20%33%27%67%80%73%

Form: Budissa Bautzen: LWDDDLDWWWL • Heiligenstadt: LDLLDLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Budissa Bautzen Heiligenstadt
HATHAT
GF total15722437
GF avg3.01.22.00.70.60.6
GA total41014121325
GA avg0.81.71.32.02.62.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBudissa BautzenHeiligenstadt
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%55%45%91%
1.545%27%18%82%
2.518%27%0%45%
3.518%18%0%9%
4.518%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBudissa BautzenHeiligenstadt
HATHAT
Clean sheets325101
Failed to score112336

Penalties

MetricBudissa BautzenHeiligenstadt
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBudissa BautzenHeiligenstadt
Wins30
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-2——
Biggest losses0-34-10-34-0
Goals For7222
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricBudissa BautzenHeiligenstadt
Form91%9%
Att83%17%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total85.3%14.8%

Advice: Winner : Budissa Bautzen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Budissa Bautzen = 4.34 (league 1.80), Heiligenstadt = 0.29 (league 1.67)

Heiligenstadt
0 1 2 3 4 5
Budissa Bautzen 0 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.2% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 3.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.5% 4.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.6% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.7% · Draw 2.6% · Away win 0.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1