Wed, Mar 25 2026 • 18:00 • Arena zur Vogtlandweide
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.71) 2.16 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.6% 18.3% 68.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.4%
0 - 1
12.4%
0 - 3
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freital
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auerbach 0 5.8% 12.4% 13.4% 9.7% 5.2% 2.2%
1 4.0% 8.6% 9.3% 6.7% 3.6% 1.6%
2 1.4% 3.0% 3.2% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAuerbachSC Freital
Played55
Form87%80%
Attack68%68%
Defense79%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Auerbach SC Freital
HATHAT
Played1091911920
Wins40%44%42%82%78%80%
Draws50%11%32%0%11%5%
Loses10%44%26%18%11%15%

Form: Auerbach: LLWDDWLDWDWDLLWWWWD • SC Freital: WLWWWWDWWWWWWLWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Auerbach SC Freital
HATHAT
GF total171633202444
GF avg1.71.81.71.82.72.2
GA total1313265611
GA avg1.31.41.40.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAuerbachSC Freital
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%63%90%45%
1.558%37%65%10%
2.526%21%40%0%
3.55%11%20%0%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAuerbachSC Freital
HATHAT
Clean sheets3477411
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricAuerbachSC Freital
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAuerbachSC Freital
Wins46
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-34-10-5
Biggest losses0-54-11-21-0
Goals For4345
Goals Against5422

Model comparison

MetricAuerbachSC Freital
Form52%48%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Auerbach or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Auerbach = 0.70 (league 1.71), SC Freital = 2.16 (league 1.63)

SC Freital
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auerbach 0 5.8% 12.4% 13.4% 9.7% 5.2% 2.2%
1 4.0% 8.6% 9.3% 6.7% 3.6% 1.6%
2 1.4% 3.0% 3.2% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.6% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 68.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1