Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 12:30 •
Volksbank Arena Bischofswerda
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.73)
2.60 (league 1.66)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4% | 12.1% | 78.6% |
best score tips
0 - 2
16.1%
0 - 3
13.9%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| SC Freital | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bischofswerdaer FV | 0 | 4.8% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bischofswerdaer FV | SC Freital |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 80% |
| Attack | 15% | 54% |
| Defense | 31% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bischofswerdaer FV | SC Freital | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Wins | 14% | 33% | 25% | 78% | 83% | 80% |
| Draws | 29% | 22% | 25% | 0% | 17% | 7% |
| Loses | 57% | 44% | 50% | 22% | 0% | 13% |
Form: Bischofswerdaer FV: LWDLLLLWDWWLLDLD • SC Freital: WLWWWWDWWWWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Bischofswerdaer FV | SC Freital | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 19 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bischofswerdaer FV | SC Freital | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 88% | 93% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 60% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 19% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 13% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 13% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bischofswerdaer FV | SC Freital | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bischofswerdaer FV | SC Freital |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bischofswerdaer FV | SC Freital |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 6-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bischofswerdaer FV | SC Freital |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14% | 86% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 14% | 86% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 29.7% | 70.3% |
Advice: Winner : SC Freital
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bischofswerdaer FV = 0.45 (league 1.73), SC Freital = 2.60 (league 1.66)
| SC Freital | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bischofswerdaer FV | 0 | 4.8% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.4% · Draw 12.1% · Away win 78.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1