Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 13:00 •
Husarensportpark Grimma Hauptplatz
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.74)
0.99 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.2% | 24.1% | 21.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
11.5%
2 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Heiligenstadt | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Grimma | 0 | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Grimma | Heiligenstadt |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 20% |
| Attack | 29% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Grimma | Heiligenstadt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 11 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 13% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 0% | 10% |
| Draws | 25% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
| Loses | 63% | 64% | 63% | 55% | 67% | 60% |
Form: FC Grimma: LLLWDDWLLWLLLDLLLLD • Heiligenstadt: LDLLDLLLDLLDDWDLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | FC Grimma | Heiligenstadt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 19 | 29 | 48 | 24 | 19 | 43 |
| GA avg | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Grimma | Heiligenstadt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 79% | 65% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 68% | 25% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 47% | 10% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 26% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 16% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Grimma | Heiligenstadt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Grimma | Heiligenstadt |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Grimma | Heiligenstadt |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-3 | 4-3 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 7-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Grimma | Heiligenstadt |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 39.0% | 61.0% |
Advice: Double chance : FC Grimma or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): FC Grimma = 1.69 (league 1.74), Heiligenstadt = 0.99 (league 1.70)
| Heiligenstadt | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Grimma | 0 | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 21.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1