Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:30 • Stadion an der Gisselberger Straße
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 2.05) 1.70 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.9% 24.0% 49.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Fernwald
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vfb Marburg 0 5.7% 9.7% 8.3% 4.7% 2.0% 0.7%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.8% 6.5% 5.6% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.5% 2.5% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVfb MarburgFernwald
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack59%82%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vfb Marburg Fernwald
HATHAT
Played710179918
Wins57%30%41%44%33%39%
Draws0%30%18%11%22%17%
Loses43%40%41%44%44%44%

Form: Vfb Marburg: WLLLWWWDLLWLWLDDW • Fernwald: LLWDLWWDLLLLWWWWDL

League goals

Metric Vfb Marburg Fernwald
HATHAT
GF total101525171835
GF avg1.41.51.51.92.01.9
GA total92130141529
GA avg1.32.11.81.61.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVfb MarburgFernwald
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%88%94%72%
1.547%53%56%67%
2.524%24%17%17%
3.56%6%11%6%
4.50%6%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVfb MarburgFernwald
HATHAT
Clean sheets112325
Failed to score235101

Penalties

MetricVfb MarburgFernwald
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVfb MarburgFernwald
Wins34
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-25-02-6
Biggest losses0-25-02-43-1
Goals For3456
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricVfb MarburgFernwald
Form44%56%
Att42%58%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h7%93%
Goals11%89%
Total32.2%67.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fernwald

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vfb Marburg = 1.16 (league 2.05), Fernwald = 1.70 (league 1.53)

Fernwald
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vfb Marburg 0 5.7% 9.7% 8.3% 4.7% 2.0% 0.7%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.8% 6.5% 5.6% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.5% 2.5% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.9% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 49.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1