Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 12:00 • Ilburg-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.63) 0.82 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.3% 39.4% 41.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.9%
0 - 1
22.8%
1 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotive Leipzig
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eilenburg 0 27.9% 22.8% 9.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.8% 10.5% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEilenburgLokomotive Leipzig
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack50%38%
Defense38%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Eilenburg Lokomotive Leipzig
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%100%50%80%
Draws0%67%40%0%50%20%
Loses50%33%40%0%0%0%

Form: Eilenburg: DWLLD • Lokomotive Leipzig: DWWWW

League goals

Metric Eilenburg Lokomotive Leipzig
HATHAT
GF total358426
GF avg1.51.71.61.31.01.2
GA total2810112
GA avg1.02.72.00.30.50.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEilenburgLokomotive Leipzig
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%100%40%
1.560%60%20%0%
2.520%20%0%0%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEilenburgLokomotive Leipzig
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricEilenburgLokomotive Leipzig
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricEilenburgLokomotive Leipzig
Wins10
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—2-10-1
Biggest losses0-25-2——
Goals For3221
Goals Against2511

Model comparison

MetricEilenburgLokomotive Leipzig
Form28%72%
Att57%43%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h7%93%
Goals25%75%
Total29.0%71.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lokomotive Leipzig

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.53 @ 1xBet
Draw4.20 @ Betfair
Away1.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Eilenburg = 0.46 (league 1.63), Lokomotive Leipzig = 0.82 (league 1.23)

Lokomotive Leipzig
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eilenburg 0 27.9% 22.8% 9.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.8% 10.5% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.3% · Draw 39.4% · Away win 41.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1