Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 12:00 • Volksstadion Greifswald
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.61) 0.80 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.0% 20.3% 13.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Luckenwalde
0 1 2 3 4 5
Greifswalder FC 0 6.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.1% 9.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGreifswalder FCLuckenwalde
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack27%55%
Defense18%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Greifswalder FC Luckenwalde
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins33%0%13%75%25%50%
Draws33%20%25%0%0%0%
Loses33%80%63%25%75%50%

Form: Greifswalder FC: LWLDLLDL • Luckenwalde: LWWWLLLW

League goals

Metric Greifswalder FC Luckenwalde
HATHAT
GF total4487411
GF avg1.30.81.01.81.01.4
GA total3101341014
GA avg1.02.01.61.02.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGreifswalder FCLuckenwalde
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%88%75%
1.525%50%38%50%
2.513%25%13%38%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGreifswalder FCLuckenwalde
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricGreifswalder FCLuckenwalde
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGreifswalder FCLuckenwalde
Wins13
Draws10
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—3-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-11-34-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricGreifswalder FCLuckenwalde
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h71%29%
Goals65%35%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Greifswalder FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Betfair
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away3.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Greifswalder FC = 2.01 (league 1.61), Luckenwalde = 0.80 (league 1.25)

Luckenwalde
0 1 2 3 4 5
Greifswalder FC 0 6.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.1% 9.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 13.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1