Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 17:00 • Bruno-Plache-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.61) 0.62 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.3% 34.2% 22.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.9%
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
SV Babelsberg 03
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotive Leipzig 0 19.9% 12.4% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 12.3% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotive LeipzigSV Babelsberg 03
Played55
Form100%60%
Attack68%45%
Defense86%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 310 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotive Leipzig SV Babelsberg 03
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins100%75%88%20%75%44%
Draws0%25%13%0%25%11%
Loses0%0%0%80%0%44%

Form: Lokomotive Leipzig: DWWWWWWW • SV Babelsberg 03: LDLWWWLWL

League goals

Metric Lokomotive Leipzig SV Babelsberg 03
HATHAT
GF total8101851015
GF avg2.02.52.31.02.51.7
GA total13410313
GA avg0.30.80.52.00.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotive LeipzigSV Babelsberg 03
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%38%78%78%
1.538%13%44%44%
2.525%0%33%11%
3.525%0%11%11%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotive LeipzigSV Babelsberg 03
HATHAT
Clean sheets325022
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricLokomotive LeipzigSV Babelsberg 03
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricLokomotive LeipzigSV Babelsberg 03
Wins03
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-73-10-4
Biggest losses1-4
Goals For4734
Goals Against1242

Model comparison

MetricLokomotive LeipzigSV Babelsberg 03
Form63%38%
Att60%40%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total59.7%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lokomotive Leipzig or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ William Hill
Draw4.12 @ Pinnacle
Away4.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.08 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lokomotive Leipzig = 0.99 (league 1.61), SV Babelsberg 03 = 0.62 (league 1.21)

SV Babelsberg 03
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotive Leipzig 0 19.9% 12.4% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 12.3% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 22.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1