Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 12:00 •
Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.61)
0.25 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.9% | 21.3% | 5.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.4%
2 - 0
20.5%
0 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luckenwalde | 0 | 14.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.4% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.5% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Luckenwalde | BSG Chemie Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 31% | 19% |
| Defense | 38% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Luckenwalde | BSG Chemie Leipzig | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 40% | 56% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
| Loses | 25% | 60% | 44% | 80% | 75% | 78% |
Form: Luckenwalde: LWWWLLLWW • BSG Chemie Leipzig: LLLLLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Luckenwalde | BSG Chemie Leipzig | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Luckenwalde | BSG Chemie Leipzig | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 67% | 33% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 44% | 22% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 33% | 0% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Luckenwalde | BSG Chemie Leipzig | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Luckenwalde | BSG Chemie Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Luckenwalde | BSG Chemie Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Luckenwalde | BSG Chemie Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 60.3% | 39.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Luckenwalde or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Luckenwalde = 1.68 (league 1.61), BSG Chemie Leipzig = 0.25 (league 1.21)
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luckenwalde | 0 | 14.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.4% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.5% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.9% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 5.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1