Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:00 • Steigerwaldstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.61) 2.66 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.2% 16.1% 65.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 2
8.3%
1 - 3
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotive Leipzig
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0 2.4% 6.3% 8.3% 7.4% 4.9% 2.6%
1 2.6% 6.8% 9.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.8%
2 1.4% 3.7% 5.0% 4.4% 2.9% 1.5%
3 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Rot-Weiß ErfurtLokomotive Leipzig
Played55
Form73%80%
Attack91%100%
Defense55%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt Lokomotive Leipzig
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%80%70%100%60%80%
Draws20%20%20%0%20%10%
Loses20%0%10%0%20%10%

Form: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: WWWLWWWWDD • Lokomotive Leipzig: DWWWWWWWWL

League goals

Metric FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt Lokomotive Leipzig
HATHAT
GF total11112291019
GF avg2.22.22.21.82.01.9
GA total8513145
GA avg1.61.01.30.20.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Rot-Weiß ErfurtLokomotive Leipzig
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%80%90%40%
1.570%50%30%10%
2.550%0%20%0%
3.510%0%20%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Rot-Weiß ErfurtLokomotive Leipzig
HATHAT
Clean sheets022426
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricFC Rot-Weiß ErfurtLokomotive Leipzig
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFC Rot-Weiß ErfurtLokomotive Leipzig
Wins48
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-44-02-7
Biggest losses1-21-0
Goals For3447
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricFC Rot-Weiß ErfurtLokomotive Leipzig
Form48%52%
Att43%57%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total37.0%63.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lokomotive Leipzig

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Betfair
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt = 1.09 (league 1.61), Lokomotive Leipzig = 2.66 (league 1.21)

Lokomotive Leipzig
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0 2.4% 6.3% 8.3% 7.4% 4.9% 2.6%
1 2.6% 6.8% 9.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.8%
2 1.4% 3.7% 5.0% 4.4% 2.9% 1.5%
3 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.2% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 65.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1