Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 12:00 • Volksstadion Greifswald
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.63) 1.06 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.0% 33.1% 45.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.9%
0 - 0
18.8%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
BFC Preussen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Greifswalder FC 0 18.8% 19.9% 10.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.5% 12.2% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 3.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGreifswalder FCBFC Preussen
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack25%63%
Defense0%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Greifswalder FC BFC Preussen
HATHAT
Played46106410
Wins25%0%10%33%50%40%
Draws25%33%30%33%25%30%
Loses50%67%60%33%25%30%

Form: Greifswalder FC: LWLDLLDLLD • BFC Preussen: DWLLWDLDWW

League goals

Metric Greifswalder FC BFC Preussen
HATHAT
GF total4598412
GF avg1.00.80.91.31.01.2
GA total511169413
GA avg1.31.81.61.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGreifswalder FCBFC Preussen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%90%80%60%
1.520%50%40%40%
2.510%20%0%20%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGreifswalder FCBFC Preussen
HATHAT
Clean sheets101224
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricGreifswalder FCBFC Preussen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGreifswalder FCBFC Preussen
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—2-10-2
Biggest losses0-23-12-43-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricGreifswalder FCBFC Preussen
Form20%80%
Att29%71%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total31.8%68.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or BFC Preussen and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Superbet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Greifswalder FC = 0.61 (league 1.63), BFC Preussen = 1.06 (league 1.23)

BFC Preussen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Greifswalder FC 0 18.8% 19.9% 10.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.5% 12.2% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 3.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 45.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1