Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 12:00 • Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.61) 2.38 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 13.7% 78.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
17.6%
0 - 1
14.8%
0 - 3
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Altglienicke
0 1 2 3 4 5
BSG Chemie Leipzig 0 6.2% 14.8% 17.6% 13.9% 8.3% 3.9%
1 2.5% 5.9% 7.0% 5.6% 3.3% 1.6%
2 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigAltglienicke
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack25%100%
Defense50%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric BSG Chemie Leipzig Altglienicke
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins20%0%10%67%75%70%
Draws0%20%10%17%0%10%
Loses80%80%80%17%25%20%

Form: BSG Chemie Leipzig: LLLLLLDLWL • Altglienicke: WLWWLWWWWD

League goals

Metric BSG Chemie Leipzig Altglienicke
HATHAT
GF total4159716
GF avg0.80.20.51.51.81.6
GA total8715437
GA avg1.61.41.50.70.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBSG Chemie LeipzigAltglienicke
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.530%80%80%50%
1.520%50%60%10%
2.50%20%20%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigAltglienicke
HATHAT
Clean sheets112415
Failed to score347112

Penalties

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigAltglienicke
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigAltglienicke
Wins14
Draws10
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-01-3
Biggest losses0-23-01-31-0
Goals For2133
Goals Against3331

Model comparison

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigAltglienicke
Form24%76%
Att18%82%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h0%100%
Goals6%94%
Total19.2%80.8%

Advice: Winner : Altglienicke

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.36 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away1.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No1.94 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): BSG Chemie Leipzig = 0.40 (league 1.61), Altglienicke = 2.38 (league 1.21)

Altglienicke
0 1 2 3 4 5
BSG Chemie Leipzig 0 6.2% 14.8% 17.6% 13.9% 8.3% 3.9%
1 2.5% 5.9% 7.0% 5.6% 3.3% 1.6%
2 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 78.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1