Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 18:00 • Bruno-Plache-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.62) 0.07 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.5% 14.9% 1.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.5%
2 - 0
25.2%
3 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Greifswalder FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotive Leipzig 0 13.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.5% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.2% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotive LeipzigGreifswalder FC
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack92%67%
Defense67%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotive Leipzig Greifswalder FC
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins100%63%80%29%13%20%
Draws0%13%7%43%25%33%
Loses0%25%13%29%63%47%

Form: Lokomotive Leipzig: DWWWWWWWWLWWWWL • Greifswalder FC: LWLDLLDLLDDLDWW

League goals

Metric Lokomotive Leipzig Greifswalder FC
HATHAT
GF total14163010717
GF avg2.02.02.01.40.91.1
GA total189101323
GA avg0.11.00.61.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotive LeipzigGreifswalder FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%40%67%93%
1.547%20%33%40%
2.527%0%13%20%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotive LeipzigGreifswalder FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets639101
Failed to score022235

Penalties

MetricLokomotive LeipzigGreifswalder FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLokomotive LeipzigGreifswalder FC
Wins81
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-73-01-2
Biggest losses—2-00-23-1
Goals For4732
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricLokomotive LeipzigGreifswalder FC
Form60%40%
Att58%42%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution96%4%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Winner : Lokomotive Leipzig

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away5.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.07 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lokomotive Leipzig = 1.97 (league 1.62), Greifswalder FC = 0.07 (league 1.25)

Greifswalder FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotive Leipzig 0 13.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.5% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.2% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.5% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 1.0%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1