Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:00 • Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.62) 1.46 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.8% 24.4% 36.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
FSV Zwickau
0 1 2 3 4 5
BSG Chemie Leipzig 0 5.1% 7.4% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.7% 11.3% 8.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.6% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.0% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigFSV Zwickau
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack37%63%
Defense74%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric BSG Chemie Leipzig FSV Zwickau
HATHAT
Played87158816
Wins38%14%27%75%25%50%
Draws0%14%7%25%25%25%
Loses63%71%67%0%50%25%

Form: BSG Chemie Leipzig: LLLLLLDLWLWLWLW • FSV Zwickau: DLWDDWLWWWLWLWDW

League goals

Metric BSG Chemie Leipzig FSV Zwickau
HATHAT
GF total10212141024
GF avg1.30.30.81.81.31.5
GA total1192021517
GA avg1.41.31.30.31.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBSG Chemie LeipzigFSV Zwickau
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%73%75%50%
1.527%47%50%31%
2.513%13%19%25%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigFSV Zwickau
HATHAT
Clean sheets224628
Failed to score459134

Penalties

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigFSV Zwickau
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigFSV Zwickau
Wins13
Draws12
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-14-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-0—3-0
Goals For3143
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigFSV Zwickau
Form47%53%
Att37%63%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h15%85%
Goals20%80%
Total36.8%63.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FSV Zwickau

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away1.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ SBO
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): BSG Chemie Leipzig = 1.52 (league 1.62), FSV Zwickau = 1.46 (league 1.25)

FSV Zwickau
0 1 2 3 4 5
BSG Chemie Leipzig 0 5.1% 7.4% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.7% 11.3% 8.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.6% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.0% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.8% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 36.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1