Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:00 • Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.62) 0.87 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.1% 28.1% 24.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Greifswalder FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
BSG Chemie Leipzig 0 11.0% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.8% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 8.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigGreifswalder FC
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack30%25%
Defense65%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric BSG Chemie Leipzig Greifswalder FC
HATHAT
Played98179918
Wins33%13%24%22%11%17%
Draws0%13%6%56%22%39%
Loses67%75%71%22%67%44%

Form: BSG Chemie Leipzig: LLLLLLDLWLWLWLWLL • Greifswalder FC: LWLDLLDLLDDLDWWLDD

League goals

Metric BSG Chemie Leipzig Greifswalder FC
HATHAT
GF total1131411718
GF avg1.20.40.81.20.81.0
GA total131124111627
GA avg1.41.41.41.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBSG Chemie LeipzigGreifswalder FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%76%61%89%
1.524%53%28%39%
2.512%12%11%22%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigGreifswalder FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score459347

Penalties

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigGreifswalder FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigGreifswalder FC
Wins12
Draws12
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-23-0
Goals For3132
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigGreifswalder FC
Form43%57%
Att55%45%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h15%85%
Goals11%89%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Greifswalder FC

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.42 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ SBO
Under 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): BSG Chemie Leipzig = 1.33 (league 1.62), Greifswalder FC = 0.87 (league 1.28)

Greifswalder FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
BSG Chemie Leipzig 0 11.0% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.8% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 8.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 24.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1