Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 18:00 • HOWOGE-Arena Hans Zoschke
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.62) 1.44 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.8% 26.6% 47.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.7%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotive Leipzig
0 1 2 3 4 5
Altglienicke 0 8.9% 12.7% 9.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4%
2 4.3% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAltglienickeLokomotive Leipzig
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack91%100%
Defense45%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Altglienicke Lokomotive Leipzig
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%56%56%89%67%78%
Draws22%22%22%0%11%6%
Loses22%22%22%11%22%17%

Form: Altglienicke: WLWWLWWWWDLDWLDWDW • Lokomotive Leipzig: DWWWWWWWWLWWWWLWWL

League goals

Metric Altglienicke Lokomotive Leipzig
HATHAT
GF total141428172138
GF avg1.61.61.61.92.32.1
GA total710173912
GA avg0.81.10.90.31.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAltglienickeLokomotive Leipzig
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%61%83%44%
1.550%22%50%22%
2.522%11%33%0%
3.50%0%22%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAltglienickeLokomotive Leipzig
HATHAT
Clean sheets5277310
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricAltglienickeLokomotive Leipzig
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAltglienickeLokomotive Leipzig
Wins48
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-02-7
Biggest losses1-33-00-22-0
Goals For3347
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricAltglienickeLokomotive Leipzig
Form47%53%
Att48%52%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total39.2%60.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lokomotive Leipzig

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Altglienicke = 0.99 (league 1.62), Lokomotive Leipzig = 1.44 (league 1.28)

Lokomotive Leipzig
0 1 2 3 4 5
Altglienicke 0 8.9% 12.7% 9.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4%
2 4.3% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 47.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1