Fri, Jan 30 2026 • 18:00 •
Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.62)
1.25 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.2% | 26.3% | 34.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.0%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Chemnitzer FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 0 | 7.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Chemnitzer FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 27% |
| Attack | 21% | 25% |
| Defense | 63% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Chemnitzer FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 8 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 30% | 13% | 22% | 40% | 22% | 32% |
| Draws | 0% | 13% | 6% | 50% | 22% | 37% |
| Loses | 70% | 75% | 72% | 10% | 56% | 32% |
Form: BSG Chemie Leipzig: LLLLLLDLWLWLWLWLLL • Chemnitzer FC: WLWLLDWWDLDLWWDLDDD
League goals
| Metric | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Chemnitzer FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 3 | 16 | 18 | 9 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 16 | 11 | 27 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Chemnitzer FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 78% | 79% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 56% | 42% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 17% | 16% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Chemnitzer FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Chemnitzer FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Chemnitzer FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Chemnitzer FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 52.2% | 47.8% |
Advice: Double chance : BSG Chemie Leipzig or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): BSG Chemie Leipzig = 1.36 (league 1.62), Chemnitzer FC = 1.25 (league 1.28)
| Chemnitzer FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 0 | 7.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.2% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 34.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1