Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 18:00 • Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.60) 1.25 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.0% 27.8% 38.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chemnitzer FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
BSG Chemie Leipzig 0 9.3% 11.6% 7.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.5% 13.1% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.9% 7.4% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigChemnitzer FC
Played55
Form0%73%
Attack42%100%
Defense8%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric BSG Chemie Leipzig Chemnitzer FC
HATHAT
Played11920121022
Wins27%11%20%50%30%41%
Draws0%11%5%42%20%32%
Loses73%78%75%8%50%27%

Form: BSG Chemie Leipzig: LLLLLLDLWLWLWLWLLLLL • Chemnitzer FC: WLWLLDWWDLDLWWDLDDDWWW

League goals

Metric BSG Chemie Leipzig Chemnitzer FC
HATHAT
GF total13417261036
GF avg1.20.40.92.21.01.6
GA total181331151530
GA avg1.61.41.61.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBSG Chemie LeipzigChemnitzer FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%80%82%68%
1.525%60%45%45%
2.510%15%23%14%
3.50%0%9%9%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigChemnitzer FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets224437
Failed to score5510044

Penalties

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigChemnitzer FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigChemnitzer FC
Wins12
Draws13
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-15-11-4
Biggest losses0-23-02-44-0
Goals For3154
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricBSG Chemie LeipzigChemnitzer FC
Form0%100%
Att29%71%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chemnitzer FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.68 @ 1xBet
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.05 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ SBO
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): BSG Chemie Leipzig = 1.13 (league 1.60), Chemnitzer FC = 1.25 (league 1.28)

Chemnitzer FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
BSG Chemie Leipzig 0 9.3% 11.6% 7.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.5% 13.1% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.9% 7.4% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 38.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1