Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 12:00 •
Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.64)
2.44 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.5% | 16.7% | 68.0% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.8%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Lokomotive Leipzig | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 0 | 3.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Lokomotive Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 56% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Lokomotive Leipzig | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 36% | 14% | 25% | 79% | 71% | 75% |
| Draws | 7% | 21% | 14% | 0% | 7% | 4% |
| Loses | 57% | 64% | 61% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
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Lokomotive LeipzigDWWWWWWWWLWWWWLWWLWLWWWLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Lokomotive Leipzig | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 12 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 57 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 21 | 23 | 44 | 8 | 15 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Lokomotive Leipzig | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 79% | 82% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 57% | 54% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 14% | 36% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 18% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Lokomotive Leipzig | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Lokomotive Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Lokomotive Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 2-7 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Lokomotive Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 37.0% | 63.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home5.30 @ Betano
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away1.73 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.06 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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