Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Sportplatz Parkweg
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 2.36)
3.24 (league 2.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.1% | 13.1% | 64.6% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.9%
1 - 2
7.3%
1 - 4
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| ETSV Hamburg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sasel | 0 | 1.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sasel | ETSV Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 80% |
| Attack | 71% | 100% |
| Defense | 6% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 18 | 3.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
68%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sasel | ETSV Hamburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 40% | 44% | 80% | 100% | 89% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 25% | 60% | 44% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
Form: Sasel: WWLDLWLLW • ETSV Hamburg: WWWWWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Sasel | ETSV Hamburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 18 | 14 | 32 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.6 |
| GA total | 8 | 15 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sasel | ETSV Hamburg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 78% | 100% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 67% | 89% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 44% | 67% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 33% | 56% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 11% | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sasel | ETSV Hamburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sasel | ETSV Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sasel | ETSV Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-4 | 6-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 7-2 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sasel | ETSV Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 24% | 76% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 29.3% | 70.7% |
Advice: Combo Winner : ETSV Hamburg and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sasel = 1.27 (league 2.36), ETSV Hamburg = 3.24 (league 2.16)
| ETSV Hamburg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sasel | 0 | 1.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.1% · Draw 13.1% · Away win 64.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1