Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 17:30 •
Kunstrasenplatz collatz+schwartz Sportpark
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 2.36)
3.11 (league 2.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.0% | 13.4% | 65.9% |
best score tips
1 - 3
8.1%
1 - 2
7.8%
0 - 3
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| ETSV Hamburg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Harksheide | 0 | 1.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Harksheide | ETSV Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 22% | 44% |
| Defense | 41% | 84% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 19 | 3.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
65%
FT probability
BTTS
88%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Harksheide | ETSV Hamburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 60% | 0% | 27% | 83% | 80% | 82% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
| Loses | 20% | 100% | 64% | 17% | 0% | 9% |
Form: Harksheide: LLLWLWLWLDL • ETSV Hamburg: WWWWWWLWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Harksheide | ETSV Hamburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 15 | 36 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.3 |
| GA total | 11 | 24 | 35 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Harksheide | ETSV Hamburg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 91% | 100% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 73% | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 64% | 64% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 45% | 45% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 27% | 27% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Harksheide | ETSV Hamburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Harksheide | ETSV Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Harksheide | ETSV Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 6-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 3-6 | 5-0 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Harksheide | ETSV Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 21% | 79% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 28.8% | 71.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or ETSV Hamburg and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Harksheide = 1.19 (league 2.36), ETSV Hamburg = 3.11 (league 2.12)
| ETSV Hamburg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Harksheide | 0 | 1.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.0% · Draw 13.4% · Away win 65.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1