Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 17:30 •
Sportanlage Kiesbarg
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 2.40)
4.01 (league 2.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.6% | 12.1% | 51.4% |
best score tips
2 - 4
5.3%
2 - 3
5.3%
1 - 4
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Paloma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Süderelbe | 0 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Süderelbe | Paloma |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 28% | 31% |
| Defense | 66% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
68%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Süderelbe | Paloma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 20% | 67% | 45% | 83% | 20% | 55% |
| Draws | 20% | 17% | 18% | 0% | 40% | 18% |
| Loses | 60% | 17% | 36% | 17% | 40% | 27% |
Form: Süderelbe: LWWDLWDWLLW • Paloma: LDWDWWWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Süderelbe | Paloma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 13 | 9 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GA avg | 2.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Süderelbe | Paloma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 82% | 82% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 64% | 64% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 45% | 55% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 9% | 27% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Süderelbe | Paloma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Süderelbe | Paloma |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Süderelbe | Paloma |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-3 | 1-6 | 5-0 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Süderelbe | Paloma |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 52% | 48% |
| Total | 41.8% | 58.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Paloma and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Süderelbe = 2.02 (league 2.40), Paloma = 4.01 (league 2.07)
| Paloma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Süderelbe | 0 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.6% · Draw 12.1% · Away win 51.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1