Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 18:30 • Langnese-Happiness-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.75 (league 2.40) 0.73 (league 2.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.6% 7.1% 3.5%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.9%
4 - 0
9.3%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
HEBC
0 1 2 3 4 5
ETSV Hamburg 0 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.0% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricETSV HamburgHEBC
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack59%38%
Defense88%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ETSV Hamburg HEBC
HATHAT
Played77148715
Wins71%86%79%50%14%33%
Draws14%14%14%13%14%13%
Loses14%0%7%38%71%53%

Form: ETSV Hamburg: WWWWWWLWWDWWWD • HEBC: LLLDLWLWWLLWDWL

League goals

Metric ETSV Hamburg HEBC
HATHAT
GF total222951101222
GF avg3.14.13.61.31.71.5
GA total6612142034
GA avg0.90.90.91.82.92.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineETSV HamburgHEBC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%64%73%93%
1.579%14%53%60%
2.564%7%13%40%
3.550%0%7%27%
4.536%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricETSV HamburgHEBC
HATHAT
Clean sheets325101
Failed to score000314

Penalties

MetricETSV HamburgHEBC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricETSV HamburgHEBC
Wins62
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-83-21-2
Biggest losses1-3—0-54-1
Goals For6834
Goals Against3254

Model comparison

MetricETSV HamburgHEBC
Form61%39%
Att61%39%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h91%9%
Goals89%11%
Total77.2%22.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : ETSV Hamburg and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ 10Bet
Draw4.50 @ 10Bet
Away4.65 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.24 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.53.34 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.38 @ Marathonbet
No2.67 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): ETSV Hamburg = 3.75 (league 2.40), HEBC = 0.73 (league 2.09)

HEBC
0 1 2 3 4 5
ETSV Hamburg 0 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.0% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 7.1% · Away win 3.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1