Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 18:30 • Kunstrasenplatz collatz+schwartz Sportpark
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 2.36) 2.04 (league 2.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.8% 20.7% 60.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.4%
0 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Victoria Hamburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Harksheide 0 5.0% 10.2% 10.4% 7.1% 3.6% 1.5%
1 4.8% 9.8% 9.9% 6.8% 3.4% 1.4%
2 2.3% 4.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHarksheideVictoria Hamburg
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack56%50%
Defense50%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Harksheide Victoria Hamburg
HATHAT
Played121022111021
Wins58%20%41%45%70%57%
Draws25%0%14%36%10%24%
Loses17%80%45%18%20%19%

Form: Harksheide: LLLWLWLWLDLLWLDWWDLWWW • Victoria Hamburg: WDWDWLDWWWWWWWLDWLWDL

League goals

Metric Harksheide Victoria Hamburg
HATHAT
GF total301444282149
GF avg2.51.42.02.52.12.3
GA total24345817926
GA avg2.03.42.61.50.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHarksheideVictoria Hamburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%91%100%67%
1.550%59%62%43%
2.527%45%38%10%
3.518%32%14%5%
4.59%23%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHarksheideVictoria Hamburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets112347
Failed to score033000

Penalties

MetricHarksheideVictoria Hamburg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricHarksheideVictoria Hamburg
Wins27
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-13-76-10-5
Biggest losses1-65-01-42-1
Goals For5765
Goals Against6642

Model comparison

MetricHarksheideVictoria Hamburg
Form59%41%
Att53%47%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h20%80%
Goals30%70%
Total39.5%60.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Victoria Hamburg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Harksheide = 0.95 (league 2.36), Victoria Hamburg = 2.04 (league 2.06)

Victoria Hamburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Harksheide 0 5.0% 10.2% 10.4% 7.1% 3.6% 1.5%
1 4.8% 9.8% 9.9% 6.8% 3.4% 1.4%
2 2.3% 4.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.8% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 60.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1