Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:00 •
Langnese-Happiness-Stadion
Expected Goals
4.45 (league 2.35)
0.53 (league 2.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
best score tips
4 - 0
11.3%
3 - 0
10.1%
5 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sasel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ETSV Hamburg | 0 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.3% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ETSV Hamburg | Sasel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 67% |
| Attack | 91% | 64% |
| Defense | 73% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 20 | 4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
67%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ETSV Hamburg | Sasel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 80% | 70% | 75% | 58% | 30% | 45% |
| Draws | 10% | 30% | 20% | 25% | 20% | 23% |
| Loses | 10% | 0% | 5% | 17% | 50% | 32% |
Form: ETSV Hamburg: WWWWWWLWWDWWWDWWWWDD • Sasel: WWLDLWLLWDWWDLWDLLWDWW
League goals
| Metric | ETSV Hamburg | Sasel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 36 | 39 | 75 | 43 | 18 | 61 |
| GF avg | 3.6 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 24 | 29 | 53 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ETSV Hamburg | Sasel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 60% | 86% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 85% | 25% | 68% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 5% | 45% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 55% | 0% | 36% | 32% |
| 4.5 | 35% | 0% | 18% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ETSV Hamburg | Sasel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | ETSV Hamburg | Sasel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | ETSV Hamburg | Sasel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-8 | 9-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | — | 0-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ETSV Hamburg | Sasel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 68.3% | 31.7% |
Advice: Combo Winner : ETSV Hamburg and +2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): ETSV Hamburg = 4.45 (league 2.35), Sasel = 0.53 (league 2.05)
| Sasel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ETSV Hamburg | 0 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.3% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.4% · Draw 3.5% · Away win 1.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1