Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 12:00 • Jacob-Thode-Platz
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 2.23) 2.13 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.3% 20.6% 55.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
9.1%
0 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Buchholz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Halstenbek-Rellingen 0 3.4% 7.3% 7.8% 5.6% 3.0% 1.3%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.7% 6.9% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.6% 5.6% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.1% 2.3% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

Buchholz carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 109 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Halstenbek-Rellingen -19.4, Buchholz -0.7.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Halstenbek-Rellingen Elo 1325.4 · -19.4
vs
Buchholz Elo 1469.3 · -0.7
Elo gapBuchholz +109
Home / draw / away29% / 18% / 53%
Expected home share35%
Combined Elo2794.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2794.7
Elo home share 35%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Halstenbek-Rellingen Buchholz
Overall Elo1325.41469.3
Form Elo1315.31478.6
Home / Away Elo1416.51459.4
Attack Elo1379.61718.4
Defense Elo1202.11304.6
Last 5 Elo change-19.4-0.7

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Halstenbek-Rellingen last-5 Elo change: -19.4; Buchholz last-5 Elo change: -0.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHalstenbek-RellingenBuchholz
Played55
Form0%60%
Attack9%52%
Defense58%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.617 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

62%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Halstenbek-Rellingen Buchholz
HATHAT
Played131528121527
Wins15%7%11%58%27%41%
Draws8%7%7%0%7%4%
Loses77%87%82%42%67%56%
Halstenbek-RellingenLWWLLLLLLLLLLDDLLLWLLLLLLLLL
BuchholzWLLLWLLLLWLDWLWLLLWWLWWWLLW

League goals

Metric Halstenbek-Rellingen Buchholz
HATHAT
GF total142135482775
GF avg1.11.41.34.01.82.8
GA total305585293867
GA avg2.33.73.02.42.52.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHalstenbek-RellingenBuchholz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%96%89%93%
1.529%82%70%67%
2.518%54%44%48%
3.57%39%30%30%
4.54%21%22%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHalstenbek-RellingenBuchholz
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score549033

Penalties

MetricHalstenbek-RellingenBuchholz
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHalstenbek-RellingenBuchholz
Wins23
Draws21
Losses104

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-57-01-5
Biggest losses0-56-02-55-0
Goals For3575
Goals Against5755

Model comparison

MetricHalstenbek-RellingenBuchholz
Form0%100%
Att15%85%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total36.4%63.6%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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