Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 12:00 •
Jacob-Thode-Platz
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 2.23)
2.13 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.3% | 20.6% | 55.7% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
9.1%
0 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Buchholz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Halstenbek-Rellingen | 0 | 3.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Buchholz carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 109 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Halstenbek-Rellingen -19.4, Buchholz -0.7.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Halstenbek-Rellingen
vs
Buchholz
Elo gapBuchholz +109
Home / draw / away29% / 18% / 53%
Expected home share35%
Combined Elo2794.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2794.7
Elo home share
35%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Halstenbek-Rellingen | Buchholz |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1325.4 | 1469.3 |
| Form Elo | 1315.3 | 1478.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1416.5 | 1459.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1379.6 | 1718.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1202.1 | 1304.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -19.4 | -0.7 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Halstenbek-Rellingen last-5 Elo change: -19.4; Buchholz last-5 Elo change: -0.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Halstenbek-Rellingen | Buchholz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 60% |
| Attack | 9% | 52% |
| Defense | 58% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 17 | 3.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
62%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Halstenbek-Rellingen | Buchholz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 15 | 28 | 12 | 15 | 27 |
| Wins | 15% | 7% | 11% | 58% | 27% | 41% |
| Draws | 8% | 7% | 7% | 0% | 7% | 4% |
| Loses | 77% | 87% | 82% | 42% | 67% | 56% |
Halstenbek-RellingenLWWLLLLLLLLLLDDLLLWLLLLLLLLL
BuchholzWLLLWLLLLWLDWLWLLLWWLWWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Halstenbek-Rellingen | Buchholz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 21 | 35 | 48 | 27 | 75 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 30 | 55 | 85 | 29 | 38 | 67 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Halstenbek-Rellingen | Buchholz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 96% | 89% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 82% | 70% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 54% | 44% | 48% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 39% | 30% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 21% | 22% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Halstenbek-Rellingen | Buchholz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Halstenbek-Rellingen | Buchholz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Halstenbek-Rellingen | Buchholz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-5 | 7-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 6-0 | 2-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Halstenbek-Rellingen | Buchholz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 15% | 85% |
| Def | 48% | 52% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 36.4% | 63.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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