Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 12:00 • Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.83) 3.72 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.9% 12.1% 58.2%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.6%
1 - 4
6.2%
2 - 3
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Weiche Flensburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
St. Pauli II 0 0.5% 1.8% 3.3% 4.0% 3.8% 2.8%
1 0.8% 2.9% 5.3% 6.6% 6.2% 4.6%
2 0.6% 2.3% 4.4% 5.4% 5.0% 3.8%
3 0.3% 1.3% 2.4% 3.0% 2.8% 2.0%
4 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8%
5 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSt. Pauli IIWeiche Flensburg
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack33%60%
Defense7%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric St. Pauli II Weiche Flensburg
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins0%0%0%60%25%44%
Draws50%0%25%0%0%0%
Loses50%100%75%40%75%56%

Form: St. Pauli II: LLLLDLDL • Weiche Flensburg: LWWLLLLWW

League goals

Metric St. Pauli II Weiche Flensburg
HATHAT
GF total52713922
GF avg1.30.50.92.62.32.4
GA total11122312921
GA avg2.83.02.92.42.32.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSt. Pauli IIWeiche Flensburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%100%89%89%
1.525%63%78%78%
2.50%50%44%44%
3.50%25%22%11%
4.50%25%11%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSt. Pauli IIWeiche Flensburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricSt. Pauli IIWeiche Flensburg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSt. Pauli IIWeiche Flensburg
Wins02
Draws10
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-5
Biggest losses0-57-12-52-0
Goals For2145
Goals Against5753

Model comparison

MetricSt. Pauli IIWeiche Flensburg
Form25%75%
Att36%64%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h85%15%
Goals82%18%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Weiche Flensburg and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Betfair
Draw4.00 @ Unibet
Away2.02 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.90 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Pinnacle
No2.85 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): St. Pauli II = 1.64 (league 1.83), Weiche Flensburg = 3.72 (league 1.73)

Weiche Flensburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
St. Pauli II 0 0.5% 1.8% 3.3% 4.0% 3.8% 2.8%
1 0.8% 2.9% 5.3% 6.6% 6.2% 4.6%
2 0.6% 2.3% 4.4% 5.4% 5.0% 3.8%
3 0.3% 1.3% 2.4% 3.0% 2.8% 2.0%
4 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8%
5 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.9% · Draw 12.1% · Away win 58.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1