Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 17:30 • Heinz-Dettmer-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 1.83) 2.16 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.0% 18.3% 30.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.7%
2 - 1
6.2%
3 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
VfB Lübeck
0 1 2 3 4 5
BW Lohne 0 0.8% 1.8% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
1 2.2% 4.7% 5.1% 3.7% 2.0% 0.9%
2 2.9% 6.2% 6.7% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.5% 5.4% 5.9% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.7% 3.6% 3.9% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6%
5 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBW LohneVfB Lübeck
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack26%48%
Defense48%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric BW Lohne VfB Lübeck
HATHAT
Played5510538
Wins40%20%30%60%33%50%
Draws0%0%0%20%0%13%
Loses60%80%70%20%67%38%

Form: BW Lohne: LLWLLWWLLL • VfB Lübeck: WLLWDWLW

League goals

Metric BW Lohne VfB Lübeck
HATHAT
GF total86149514
GF avg1.61.21.41.81.71.8
GA total1116274913
GA avg2.23.22.70.83.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBW LohneVfB Lübeck
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%88%75%
1.550%70%38%50%
2.520%50%25%25%
3.50%30%25%13%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBW LohneVfB Lübeck
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricBW LohneVfB Lübeck
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBW LohneVfB Lübeck
Wins21
Draws01
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-34-12-4
Biggest losses0-35-01-24-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against4624

Model comparison

MetricBW LohneVfB Lübeck
Form38%63%
Att35%65%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h0%100%
Goals22%78%
Total35.6%64.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or VfB Lübeck and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.57 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ Bet365
No2.90 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): BW Lohne = 2.63 (league 1.83), VfB Lübeck = 2.16 (league 1.73)

VfB Lübeck
0 1 2 3 4 5
BW Lohne 0 0.8% 1.8% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
1 2.2% 4.7% 5.1% 3.7% 2.0% 0.9%
2 2.9% 6.2% 6.7% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.5% 5.4% 5.9% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.7% 3.6% 3.9% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6%
5 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 30.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1