Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:30 • Manfred-Werner-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.83) 5.31 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.6% 4.2% 49.3%
best score tips
1 - 5
6.3%
1 - 4
5.9%
0 - 5
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
SV Meppen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Weiche Flensburg 0 0.1% 0.8% 2.1% 3.7% 4.9% 5.2%
1 0.2% 1.0% 2.5% 4.5% 5.9% 6.3%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.7% 3.6% 3.8%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWeiche FlensburgSV Meppen
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack58%100%
Defense42%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.220 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Weiche Flensburg SV Meppen
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins50%33%42%71%80%75%
Draws0%17%8%14%20%17%
Loses50%50%50%14%0%8%

Form: Weiche Flensburg: LWWLLLLWWWLD • SV Meppen: WWDLWDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Weiche Flensburg SV Meppen
HATHAT
GF total131427221739
GF avg2.22.32.33.13.43.3
GA total1612285510
GA avg2.72.02.30.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWeiche FlensburgSV Meppen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%92%92%50%
1.575%75%83%17%
2.542%42%58%8%
3.517%17%50%8%
4.58%8%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWeiche FlensburgSV Meppen
HATHAT
Clean sheets101336
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricWeiche FlensburgSV Meppen
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricWeiche FlensburgSV Meppen
Wins32
Draws01
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-56-00-6
Biggest losses0-42-00-1
Goals For4566
Goals Against5324

Model comparison

MetricWeiche FlensburgSV Meppen
Form40%60%
Att35%65%
Def8%92%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h9%91%
Goals31%69%
Total23.2%76.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : SV Meppen and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.10 @ 1xBet
Draw5.44 @ Pinnacle
Away1.35 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Weiche Flensburg = 1.20 (league 1.83), SV Meppen = 5.31 (league 1.73)

SV Meppen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Weiche Flensburg 0 0.1% 0.8% 2.1% 3.7% 4.9% 5.2%
1 0.2% 1.0% 2.5% 4.5% 5.9% 6.3%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.7% 3.6% 3.8%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.6% · Draw 4.2% · Away win 49.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1