Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Buniamshof
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.81) 0.71 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.1% 21.3% 13.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
2 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Weiche Flensburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Phönix Lübeck 0 7.5% 5.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.1% 10.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.3% 5.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPhönix LübeckWeiche Flensburg
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack57%100%
Defense93%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Phönix Lübeck Weiche Flensburg
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins75%44%59%44%38%41%
Draws0%33%18%11%13%12%
Loses25%22%24%44%50%47%

Form: Phönix Lübeck: WWLDWDWLWLLWDWWWW • Weiche Flensburg: LWWLLLLWWWLDWLLWD

League goals

Metric Phönix Lübeck Weiche Flensburg
HATHAT
GF total141428221941
GF avg1.81.61.62.42.42.4
GA total41115241539
GA avg0.51.20.92.71.92.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePhönix LübeckWeiche Flensburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%47%88%88%
1.547%29%82%76%
2.518%6%41%47%
3.512%6%18%12%
4.512%0%12%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPhönix LübeckWeiche Flensburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets639112
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricPhönix LübeckWeiche Flensburg
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricPhönix LübeckWeiche Flensburg
Wins23
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-54-01-5
Biggest losses0-24-00-42-0
Goals For5555
Goals Against2453

Model comparison

MetricPhönix LübeckWeiche Flensburg
Form65%35%
Att36%64%
Def92%8%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h93%7%
Goals86%14%
Total73.8%26.2%

Advice: Double chance : Phönix Lübeck or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.40 @ Betfair
Away4.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ Pinnacle
No2.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Phönix Lübeck = 1.89 (league 1.81), Weiche Flensburg = 0.71 (league 1.69)

Weiche Flensburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Phönix Lübeck 0 7.5% 5.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.1% 10.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.3% 5.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.1% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 13.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1