Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:00 • Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.82) 2.35 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.2% 19.4% 42.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 2
6.9%
2 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
VfB Lübeck
0 1 2 3 4 5
St. Pauli II 0 1.2% 2.8% 3.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.5% 5.8% 6.9% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5%
2 2.6% 6.0% 7.1% 5.6% 3.3% 1.5%
3 1.8% 4.2% 4.9% 3.9% 2.3% 1.1%
4 0.9% 2.2% 2.5% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSt. Pauli IIVfB Lübeck
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack43%64%
Defense29%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric St. Pauli II VfB Lübeck
HATHAT
Played891791019
Wins0%22%12%33%30%32%
Draws50%11%29%33%20%26%
Loses50%67%59%33%50%42%

Form: St. Pauli II: LLLLDLDLLWDWLDDLL • VfB Lübeck: WLLWDWLWWLLLLDDDDWL

League goals

Metric St. Pauli II VfB Lübeck
HATHAT
GF total101020141630
GF avg1.31.11.21.61.61.6
GA total201838142943
GA avg2.52.02.21.62.92.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSt. Pauli IIVfB Lübeck
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%94%84%89%
1.529%53%47%68%
2.56%35%16%26%
3.50%18%11%21%
4.50%12%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSt. Pauli IIVfB Lübeck
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score123033

Penalties

MetricSt. Pauli IIVfB Lübeck
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSt. Pauli IIVfB Lübeck
Wins12
Draws24
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-34-12-4
Biggest losses0-57-11-57-2
Goals For2344
Goals Against5757

Model comparison

MetricSt. Pauli IIVfB Lübeck
Form25%75%
Att40%60%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or VfB Lübeck and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): St. Pauli II = 2.07 (league 1.82), VfB Lübeck = 2.35 (league 1.70)

VfB Lübeck
0 1 2 3 4 5
St. Pauli II 0 1.2% 2.8% 3.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.5% 5.8% 6.9% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5%
2 2.6% 6.0% 7.1% 5.6% 3.3% 1.5%
3 1.8% 4.2% 4.9% 3.9% 2.3% 1.1%
4 0.9% 2.2% 2.5% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.2% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 42.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1