Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 17:00 • Weserstadion Platz 11
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.74 (league 1.83) 3.33 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.2% 15.8% 39.7%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.3%
3 - 3
4.9%
2 - 2
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
VfB Lübeck
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen II 0 0.2% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8%
1 0.6% 2.1% 3.5% 3.9% 3.3% 2.2%
2 0.9% 2.9% 4.8% 5.3% 4.4% 3.0%
3 0.8% 2.6% 4.4% 4.9% 4.1% 2.7%
4 0.5% 1.8% 3.0% 3.3% 2.8% 1.8%
5 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 1.5% 1.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWerder Bremen IIVfB Lübeck
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack73%60%
Defense7%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

62%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Werder Bremen II VfB Lübeck
HATHAT
Played5510549
Wins20%40%30%60%50%56%
Draws40%20%30%20%0%11%
Loses40%40%40%20%50%33%

Form: Werder Bremen II: LWWLDWLDLD • VfB Lübeck: WLLWDWLWW

League goals

Metric Werder Bremen II VfB Lübeck
HATHAT
GF total109199716
GF avg2.01.81.91.81.81.8
GA total1692541014
GA avg3.21.82.50.82.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWerder Bremen IIVfB Lübeck
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%89%78%
1.560%80%44%44%
2.520%30%22%22%
3.510%20%22%11%
4.510%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWerder Bremen IIVfB Lübeck
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricWerder Bremen IIVfB Lübeck
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricWerder Bremen IIVfB Lübeck
Wins21
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-24-12-4
Biggest losses0-62-01-24-0
Goals For6344
Goals Against6324

Model comparison

MetricWerder Bremen IIVfB Lübeck
Form33%67%
Att55%45%
Def26%74%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Werder Bremen II or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.39 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.55 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.36 @ William Hill
No3.05 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Werder Bremen II = 2.74 (league 1.83), VfB Lübeck = 3.33 (league 1.73)

VfB Lübeck
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen II 0 0.2% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8%
1 0.6% 2.1% 3.5% 3.9% 3.3% 2.2%
2 0.9% 2.9% 4.8% 5.3% 4.4% 3.0%
3 0.8% 2.6% 4.4% 4.9% 4.1% 2.7%
4 0.5% 1.8% 3.0% 3.3% 2.8% 1.8%
5 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 1.5% 1.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.2% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 39.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1