Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 17:00 • SMR-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.56) 0.76 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.3% 24.1% 16.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
SpVgg Unterhaching
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buchbach 0 8.8% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.7% 11.2% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuchbachSpVgg Unterhaching
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack50%57%
Defense64%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buchbach SpVgg Unterhaching
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%25%50%75%75%75%
Draws25%25%25%0%25%13%
Loses0%50%25%25%0%13%

Form: Buchbach: WLDWWLWD • SpVgg Unterhaching: WWWWWWDL

League goals

Metric Buchbach SpVgg Unterhaching
HATHAT
GF total86148917
GF avg2.01.51.82.02.32.1
GA total21012156
GA avg0.52.51.50.31.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuchbachSpVgg Unterhaching
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%88%63%
1.550%25%75%13%
2.538%13%50%0%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuchbachSpVgg Unterhaching
HATHAT
Clean sheets202303
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricBuchbachSpVgg Unterhaching
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBuchbachSpVgg Unterhaching
Wins26
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-01-3
Biggest losses6-30-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against1612

Model comparison

MetricBuchbachSpVgg Unterhaching
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h7%93%
Goals21%79%
Total38.2%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SpVgg Unterhaching

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Bet365
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.30 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.39 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Buchbach = 1.67 (league 1.56), SpVgg Unterhaching = 0.76 (league 1.51)

SpVgg Unterhaching
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buchbach 0 8.8% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.7% 11.2% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.3% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 16.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1