Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • Vöhlin-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.58) 2.14 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.9% 20.7% 54.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
8.9%
0 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Buchbach
0 1 2 3 4 5
Illertissen 0 3.2% 6.8% 7.2% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
1 4.2% 8.9% 9.5% 6.8% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.7% 5.9% 6.3% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.2% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIllertissenBuchbach
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack65%40%
Defense45%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Illertissen Buchbach
HATHAT
Played46106511
Wins25%67%50%50%20%36%
Draws0%0%0%33%20%27%
Loses75%33%50%17%60%36%

Form: Illertissen: LWWLLLWLWW • Buchbach: WLDWWLWDDLL

League goals

Metric Illertissen Buchbach
HATHAT
GF total3192211718
GF avg0.83.22.21.81.41.6
GA total9132271320
GA avg2.32.22.21.22.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIllertissenBuchbach
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%91%82%
1.550%70%45%36%
2.530%50%27%27%
3.530%10%0%18%
4.530%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIllertissenBuchbach
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricIllertissenBuchbach
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricIllertissenBuchbach
Wins22
Draws02
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-53-01-2
Biggest losses0-34-12-46-3
Goals For2533
Goals Against3446

Model comparison

MetricIllertissenBuchbach
Form64%36%
Att62%38%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Illertissen or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Superbet
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away3.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Illertissen = 1.31 (league 1.58), Buchbach = 2.14 (league 1.51)

Buchbach
0 1 2 3 4 5
Illertissen 0 3.2% 6.8% 7.2% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
1 4.2% 8.9% 9.5% 6.8% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.7% 5.9% 6.3% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.2% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.9% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 54.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1