Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 17:00 • Uhlsport Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.59) 0.65 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.5% 17.5% 9.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.0%
1 - 0
12.6%
3 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Bayreuth
0 1 2 3 4 5
SpVgg Unterhaching 0 5.7% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.6% 8.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.0% 9.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.3% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.7% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpVgg UnterhachingBayreuth
Played55
Form87%13%
Attack100%8%
Defense58%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.41 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SpVgg Unterhaching Bayreuth
HATHAT
Played67138513
Wins83%71%77%25%20%23%
Draws0%29%15%25%60%38%
Loses17%0%8%50%20%38%

Form: SpVgg Unterhaching: WWWWWWDLDWWWW • Bayreuth: WLDWDWDLLDLLD

League goals

Metric SpVgg Unterhaching Bayreuth
HATHAT
GF total1519345712
GF avg2.52.72.60.61.40.9
GA total471112719
GA avg0.71.00.81.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpVgg UnterhachingBayreuth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%69%54%69%
1.577%15%38%46%
2.554%0%0%15%
3.515%0%0%8%
4.515%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpVgg UnterhachingBayreuth
HATHAT
Clean sheets314404
Failed to score101516

Penalties

MetricSpVgg UnterhachingBayreuth
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricSpVgg UnterhachingBayreuth
Wins61
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-62-01-2
Biggest losses0-1—1-51-0
Goals For5622
Goals Against2252

Model comparison

MetricSpVgg UnterhachingBayreuth
Form87%13%
Att94%6%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h20%80%
Goals43%57%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Winner : SpVgg Unterhaching

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.40 @ Dafabet
Away10.10 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): SpVgg Unterhaching = 2.21 (league 1.59), Bayreuth = 0.65 (league 1.50)

Bayreuth
0 1 2 3 4 5
SpVgg Unterhaching 0 5.7% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.6% 8.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.0% 9.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.3% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.7% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.5% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 9.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1