Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 17:00 • SMR-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.56) 1.36 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.1% 25.4% 35.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
8.8%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Nürnberg II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buchbach 0 6.2% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.8% 12.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.9% 4.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuchbachNürnberg II
Played55
Form20%80%
Attack53%93%
Defense0%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 38 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buchbach Nürnberg II
HATHAT
Played77149413
Wins43%29%36%78%50%69%
Draws29%14%21%0%25%8%
Loses29%57%43%22%25%23%

Form: Buchbach: WLDWWLWDDLLLLW • Nürnberg II: WWWWWLLDWWLWW

League goals

Metric Buchbach Nürnberg II
HATHAT
GF total12112321526
GF avg1.71.61.62.31.32.0
GA total11172813518
GA avg1.62.42.01.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuchbachNürnberg II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%79%92%69%
1.543%43%62%31%
2.529%36%23%23%
3.50%29%15%8%
4.50%7%8%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuchbachNürnberg II
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricBuchbachNürnberg II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBuchbachNürnberg II
Wins25
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-00-2
Biggest losses1-46-32-53-0
Goals For3352
Goals Against4653

Model comparison

MetricBuchbachNürnberg II
Form20%80%
Att36%64%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nürnberg II and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away2.45 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.85 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Bet365
No2.88 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Buchbach = 1.41 (league 1.56), Nürnberg II = 1.36 (league 1.52)

Nürnberg II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buchbach 0 6.2% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.8% 12.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.9% 4.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.1% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 35.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1