Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 13:00 • Rosenaustadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.59) 4.59 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.1% 6.3% 58.2%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.8%
1 - 5
6.2%
1 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Illertissen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Schwaben Augsburg 0 0.3% 1.4% 3.2% 5.0% 5.7% 5.2%
1 0.4% 1.7% 3.9% 5.9% 6.8% 6.2%
2 0.2% 1.0% 2.3% 3.5% 4.0% 3.7%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSchwaben AugsburgIllertissen
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack28%67%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Schwaben Augsburg Illertissen
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins0%13%6%50%63%56%
Draws25%38%31%13%13%13%
Loses75%50%63%38%25%31%

Form: Schwaben Augsburg: LLLLLDDDLDLLLWLD • Illertissen: LWWLLLWLWWWDWDWW

League goals

Metric Schwaben Augsburg Illertissen
HATHAT
GF total7815142438
GF avg0.91.00.91.83.02.4
GA total181432121729
GA avg2.31.82.01.52.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSchwaben AugsburgIllertissen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%94%88%88%
1.525%56%56%50%
2.56%31%38%38%
3.50%13%38%6%
4.50%6%19%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSchwaben AugsburgIllertissen
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score336202

Penalties

MetricSchwaben AugsburgIllertissen
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSchwaben AugsburgIllertissen
Wins13
Draws31
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-24-11-5
Biggest losses1-45-00-34-1
Goals For2345
Goals Against4534

Model comparison

MetricSchwaben AugsburgIllertissen
Form27%73%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total30.0%70.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Illertissen and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.60 @ Betfair
Draw4.00 @ Betano
Away2.08 @ SBO

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Betfair
No2.75 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Schwaben Augsburg = 1.19 (league 1.59), Illertissen = 4.59 (league 1.50)

Illertissen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Schwaben Augsburg 0 0.3% 1.4% 3.2% 5.0% 5.7% 5.2%
1 0.4% 1.7% 3.9% 5.9% 6.8% 6.2%
2 0.2% 1.0% 2.3% 3.5% 4.0% 3.7%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.1% · Draw 6.3% · Away win 58.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1