Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion am Bruchweg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.92 (league 1.85) 1.56 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.9% 16.2% 17.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
3 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
FC 08 Homburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 II 0 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.3% 5.2% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
2 4.8% 7.5% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.7% 7.3% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.4% 5.4% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
5 2.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IIFC 08 Homburg
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack80%93%
Defense67%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 II FC 08 Homburg
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins50%33%43%25%33%29%
Draws50%33%43%50%33%43%
Loses0%33%14%25%33%29%

Form: FSV Mainz 05 II: DLWWDDW • FC 08 Homburg: DLWWLDD

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 II FC 08 Homburg
HATHAT
GF total84129918
GF avg2.01.31.72.33.02.6
GA total3585813
GA avg0.81.71.11.32.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 05 IIFC 08 Homburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%100%86%
1.557%29%57%43%
2.543%14%43%29%
3.50%0%29%14%
4.50%0%14%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IIFC 08 Homburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IIFC 08 Homburg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IIFC 08 Homburg
Wins22
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-36-01-4
Biggest losses—3-01-35-3
Goals For3364
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IIFC 08 Homburg
Form58%42%
Att46%54%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h38%62%
Goals31%69%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FC 08 Homburg and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Betano
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away2.62 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No3.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 II = 2.92 (league 1.85), FC 08 Homburg = 1.56 (league 1.54)

FC 08 Homburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 II 0 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.3% 5.2% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
2 4.8% 7.5% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.7% 7.3% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.4% 5.4% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
5 2.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.9% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 17.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1