Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 12:00 •
Wasen-Stadion
Expected Goals
3.18 (league 1.87)
0.67 (league 1.62)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.3% | 9.7% | 4.7% |
best score tips
3 - 0
11.4%
2 - 0
10.8%
4 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Hessen Kassel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SGV Freiberg | 0 | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.4% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | Hessen Kassel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 53% |
| Attack | 82% | 41% |
| Defense | 82% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 18 | 3.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | Hessen Kassel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Form: SGV Freiberg: WWWWWWWW • Hessen Kassel: DWLLDDWW
League goals
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | Hessen Kassel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 15 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GF avg | 3.3 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SGV Freiberg | Hessen Kassel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 88% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 88% | 13% | 75% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 88% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | Hessen Kassel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | Hessen Kassel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | Hessen Kassel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | Hessen Kassel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 65.2% | 35.0% |
Advice: Winner : SGV Freiberg
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SGV Freiberg = 3.18 (league 1.87), Hessen Kassel = 0.67 (league 1.62)
| Hessen Kassel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SGV Freiberg | 0 | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.4% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.3% · Draw 9.7% · Away win 4.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1