Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 17:00 • GAZİ-Stadion auf der Waldau
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.87) 3.12 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.4% 15.1% 58.3%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.2%
1 - 2
6.9%
2 - 3
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
SGV Freiberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stuttgarter Kickers 0 0.9% 2.8% 4.3% 4.5% 3.5% 2.2%
1 1.4% 4.4% 6.9% 7.2% 5.6% 3.5%
2 1.1% 3.6% 5.5% 5.8% 4.5% 2.8%
3 0.6% 1.9% 3.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.5%
4 0.2% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStuttgarter KickersSGV Freiberg
Played55
Form40%100%
Attack35%100%
Defense53%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.217 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stuttgarter Kickers SGV Freiberg
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%40%44%100%100%100%
Draws25%0%11%0%0%0%
Loses25%60%44%0%0%0%

Form: Stuttgarter Kickers: WWDLLWWLL • SGV Freiberg: WWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Stuttgarter Kickers SGV Freiberg
HATHAT
GF total9211161531
GF avg2.30.41.23.23.83.4
GA total5914257
GA avg1.31.81.60.41.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStuttgarter KickersSGV Freiberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%56%
1.522%56%89%22%
2.522%33%89%0%
3.511%0%44%0%
4.50%0%22%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStuttgarter KickersSGV Freiberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets123404
Failed to score033000

Penalties

MetricStuttgarter KickersSGV Freiberg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricStuttgarter KickersSGV Freiberg
Wins29
Draws10
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-15-02-5
Biggest losses1-23-0——
Goals For4155
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricStuttgarter KickersSGV Freiberg
Form29%71%
Att26%74%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : SGV Freiberg and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.15 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.56 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stuttgarter Kickers = 1.60 (league 1.87), SGV Freiberg = 3.12 (league 1.58)

SGV Freiberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stuttgarter Kickers 0 0.9% 2.8% 4.3% 4.5% 3.5% 2.2%
1 1.4% 4.4% 6.9% 7.2% 5.6% 3.5%
2 1.1% 3.6% 5.5% 5.8% 4.5% 2.8%
3 0.6% 1.9% 3.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.5%
4 0.2% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.4% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 58.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1