Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 17:00 •
Waldstadion Homburg
Expected Goals
2.80 (league 1.86)
1.47 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.8% | 16.6% | 17.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Schott Mainz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC 08 Homburg | 0 | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC 08 Homburg | Schott Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 41% | 47% |
| Defense | 47% | 24% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC 08 Homburg | Schott Mainz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 20% | 25% | 22% | 0% | 20% | 11% |
| Draws | 60% | 50% | 56% | 0% | 40% | 22% |
| Loses | 20% | 25% | 22% | 100% | 40% | 67% |
Form: FC 08 Homburg: DLWWLDDDD • Schott Mainz: WLLLDDLLL
League goals
| Metric | FC 08 Homburg | Schott Mainz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 11 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC 08 Homburg | Schott Mainz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 89% | 89% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | 44% | 89% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 11% | 11% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC 08 Homburg | Schott Mainz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC 08 Homburg | Schott Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC 08 Homburg | Schott Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-4 | — | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-3 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC 08 Homburg | Schott Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 67.0% | 33.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : FC 08 Homburg or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): FC 08 Homburg = 2.80 (league 1.86), Schott Mainz = 1.47 (league 1.63)
| Schott Mainz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC 08 Homburg | 0 | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.8% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 17.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1