Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • Kaiserstuhlstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.86) 1.84 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.0% 22.3% 60.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.0%
0 - 2
12.0%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
FSV Mainz 05 II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bahlinger SC 0 7.1% 13.0% 12.0% 7.3% 3.4% 1.2%
1 5.7% 10.5% 9.7% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.3% 4.3% 3.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBahlinger SCFSV Mainz 05 II
Played55
Form20%73%
Attack22%44%
Defense52%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bahlinger SC FSV Mainz 05 II
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins0%20%10%50%50%50%
Draws40%20%30%50%25%40%
Loses60%60%60%0%25%10%

Form: Bahlinger SC: LWLLLLLDDD • FSV Mainz 05 II: DLWWDDWDWW

League goals

Metric Bahlinger SC FSV Mainz 05 II
HATHAT
GF total551013619
GF avg1.01.01.02.21.51.9
GA total1017277613
GA avg2.03.42.71.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBahlinger SCFSV Mainz 05 II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%80%80%
1.530%80%70%40%
2.510%40%40%10%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBahlinger SCFSV Mainz 05 II
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricBahlinger SCFSV Mainz 05 II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricBahlinger SCFSV Mainz 05 II
Wins12
Draws02
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-33-01-3
Biggest losses1-36-03-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against3623

Model comparison

MetricBahlinger SCFSV Mainz 05 II
Form21%79%
Att33%67%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h60%40%
Goals52%48%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Winner : FSV Mainz 05 II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.59 @ 1xBet
Draw4.34 @ Pinnacle
Away1.83 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.85 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ Pinnacle
No2.70 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bahlinger SC = 0.81 (league 1.86), FSV Mainz 05 II = 1.84 (league 1.63)

FSV Mainz 05 II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bahlinger SC 0 7.1% 13.0% 12.0% 7.3% 3.4% 1.2%
1 5.7% 10.5% 9.7% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.3% 4.3% 3.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.0% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 60.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1