Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 12:00 • SIBRE Sportzentrum Haarwasen Haiger
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.87) 3.44 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.2% 12.9% 61.2%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.3%
1 - 2
6.4%
1 - 4
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
SGV Freiberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
TSV Steinbach 0 0.7% 2.5% 4.3% 5.0% 4.3% 2.9%
1 1.1% 3.7% 6.4% 7.3% 6.3% 4.3%
2 0.8% 2.7% 4.7% 5.4% 4.7% 3.2%
3 0.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.7% 2.3% 1.6%
4 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTSV SteinbachSGV Freiberg
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack68%79%
Defense63%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.615 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

89%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric TSV Steinbach SGV Freiberg
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins50%60%55%83%80%82%
Draws33%40%36%0%20%9%
Loses17%0%9%17%0%9%

Form: TSV Steinbach: WWWWDLDDDWW • SGV Freiberg: WWWWWWWWWDL

League goals

Metric TSV Steinbach SGV Freiberg
HATHAT
GF total141327171633
GF avg2.32.62.52.83.23.0
GA total104144610
GA avg1.70.81.30.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTSV SteinbachSGV Freiberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%91%100%64%
1.564%36%73%27%
2.555%0%73%0%
3.527%0%36%0%
4.59%0%18%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTSV SteinbachSGV Freiberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets011404
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricTSV SteinbachSGV Freiberg
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricTSV SteinbachSGV Freiberg
Wins49
Draws31
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-55-02-5
Biggest losses0-1—1-2—
Goals For4555
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricTSV SteinbachSGV Freiberg
Form47%53%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total40.3%59.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or SGV Freiberg and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.22 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): TSV Steinbach = 1.47 (league 1.87), SGV Freiberg = 3.44 (league 1.58)

SGV Freiberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
TSV Steinbach 0 0.7% 2.5% 4.3% 5.0% 4.3% 2.9%
1 1.1% 3.7% 6.4% 7.3% 6.3% 4.3%
2 0.8% 2.7% 4.7% 5.4% 4.7% 3.2%
3 0.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.7% 2.3% 1.6%
4 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.2% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 61.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1