Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion am Bruchweg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.21 (league 1.85) 1.17 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.4% 12.7% 10.1%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 1
7.6%
3 - 0
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Balingen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 II 0 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.0% 4.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.5% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.9% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.6% 6.5% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.6% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IIBalingen
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack58%53%
Defense63%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 II Balingen
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins50%40%45%20%33%27%
Draws50%40%45%20%17%18%
Loses0%20%9%60%50%55%

Form: FSV Mainz 05 II: DLWWDDWDWWD • Balingen: LLWLLLWWLDD

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 II Balingen
HATHAT
GF total137205914
GF avg2.21.41.81.01.51.3
GA total7714111627
GA avg1.21.41.32.22.72.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 05 IIBalingen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%64%100%
1.564%36%36%55%
2.536%9%18%45%
3.50%0%9%27%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IIBalingen
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IIBalingen
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IIBalingen
Wins22
Draws20
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-11-2
Biggest losses—3-01-46-1
Goals For3334
Goals Against2346

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IIBalingen
Form58%42%
Att52%48%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h75%25%
Goals56%44%
Total62.3%37.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FSV Mainz 05 II or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ 10Bet
Draw4.70 @ Unibet
Away5.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ 188Bet
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 II = 3.21 (league 1.85), Balingen = 1.17 (league 1.54)

Balingen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 II 0 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.0% 4.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.5% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.9% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.6% 6.5% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.6% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.4% · Draw 12.7% · Away win 10.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1